Werewolf - Fear of the Dark - Day 3

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frederikam

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Jul 29, 2019
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While we are pointing things out, I'd also like to point out that the bodyguard shouldn't protect anyone tonight. Since they can't protect the same person two nights in a row...what happens if they protect the seer tonight by random chance, and then it comes out who the seer is tomorrow...then they can't protect them again. Protecting someone on the first night is a bad idea (in my opinion at least).
The seer doesn't have to out publicly, he can just contact GPuzzle and have him announce the result. It is very unlikely that the seer should publicly out. If he do however out he can receive the candle from the seer as protection. And what's the chance to hit him anyway as a bodyguard? If I was the bodyguard I would protect someone every night.
 

Jess887cp

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Jul 29, 2019
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Sorry guys, I have the worst luck sometimes. There was an earthquake (7.2 magnitude) that knocked over a few buildings as well as the power and internet. The aftershocks stopped a couple of hours ago. I'll go ahead and do all the things soon.
 

Jess887cp

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Jul 29, 2019
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As night falls, you decide not to kill anybody. After all, the risk of killing on of your own is too high.

The werewolves see this as a chance. Howls sound as Staxed is ripped limb from limb, his remains found at the foot of the fire.

Staxed was the bodyguard.
 

frederikam

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Jul 29, 2019
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Wow that may have just ruined our chance. And for the first time ever in this thread I am writing this on an actual computer setup, woo. And again, as I would recommend everyone else to do, I vote to lynch dgdas.
 

dgdas9

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Jul 29, 2019
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hmm, just so I don't get executed for not voting I vote to lynch PeggleFrank although I don't recommend you to do so.
 

frederikam

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Jul 29, 2019
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Erm uh Jess, two things.

If I read the rules correct the werewolves would only get a kill for each 30 percent light we lose, which means means Staxed would be alive.

AND if any villager dies we'd lose 20 percent light level, which we haven't. This also doesn't fit with the idea that the elder can't die n1.
Did I misunderstand something?
 

frederikam

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Jul 29, 2019
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They get an EXTRA kill every 30 percent.
That can't be right if I do the math.
Staxed died, that leaves us with 80 percent.
Both the wolves and us can potentially kill a villager each, and we may be left with 40 percent.
This grants the wolves two extra kills from our loss of 60 percent, granting them two extra kills. We'll be at 0 percent!
As we lose more than 90 percent they get an extra kill, we'll be at negative 20 percent.
They gain an extra kill, leaving us at negative 40.
This is in total 6 kills for one night if two people die tonight, leaving all villagers dead, except potentially a villager that has a candle.

If we get a candle to save someone...

We'll be down to 60 percent, the wolves get an additional kill, leaving us at 40 percent, three villagers have been killed.

Of course the math would be different if we kill a werewolf, but if this was true the villagers would lose guaranteed.

To conclude, this cannot be true.

Or I am just too tired and I'd have to go to bed.