I don't really have the time to do one of those massive analysis posts again today, so I will just vote for someone and explain why. (I have an exam on Monday and Tuesday that I need to study for)
Now, as I posted earlier, our wolves are most likely people that did not vote Nobody on day 1. Just think about it, as a wolf, you see that people are willing to vote off somebody on day 1. At this stage it is very easy to manipulate everyone into voting off a villager, no-one knows anything and if it goes bad (a villager gets lynched) you can just blame it on that it was a guess, an experiment, it failed.
Now, I am going to only exclude the first few votes from being free of suspicion since the idea that we should lynch someone d1 did not come up until Pyure brought it up. I'll also exclude the people who tied a reason with it. Now, by no means is the list of the following players going to contain all the wolves, there will be the sneaky players which did well at disguising this:
- Eruantien
- Lethosos (sort of, antismited fowltief despite having Nobody to antismite, also the sgbros vote initially)
- RJS (When he voted lenscas)
- TheEpic5
- Strikingwolf
- SoraZodia
- SpwnX
- Shazam08
So, now I am going to assume that we have at least 1 wolf in this group
Now, as I said earlier, I don't believe that RJS is a wolf. TheEpic5's vote seems harmless since it was on someone with no votes yet.
With leth, you can interpret it to be both wolfy and villagery. In leth's position when he voted I think he had no doubts that Nobody would be lynched since he always does and voted for fun, then when pushed on about it, realised that was a terrible reason and then made up a more believable one after the fact. I still don't know why he antismited fowl though.
I am actually now kind of suspicious of the people who added extra votes on to sgbros. These being Eruantien and SpwnX. We now know that sgbros was a villager, the wolves would know that and there was a wagon with 4 votes on sgbros. For a wolf that is easy pickings imo. Keep in mind, that Shazam08 and SoraZodia are sort of suspicious, but they didn't hop on the sgbros wagon so brownie points for that I guess.
Vote SpwnX because of the following:
Now, I'll vote sgbros, why? Because he might actually have the honor of being the first D1 lynched player and I want to be part of that.
With some luck, he's a wolf, with less, a powerless villager, worst case, the wiz/seer.
He justifies it because he wants to be part of the first d1 lynch, then makes us feel better by affirming to us that we want the wolves dead first. Everyone knew that already and it is just stating the obvious, this last line here is something I would add as a wolf, it just makes everyone think that you are a bit friendlier, and that we are on the same side.
