Yeah, by all means I encourage all of you to respond to my analysis. It gives me more content to analyse.
After all the responses I have viewed some people more favourably. However, I am sticking with my gut instinct on sgbros. The exact same scenario happened when I was competing in the werewolf championships. There was a wagon on an individual, then all of a sudden last minute (literally with 10 minutes to go) they changed to another person. I then said that I found it fishy and voted for the person who was originally the wagon recipient. Everyone then said that I had illogical reasoning, I kept on going for it but no-one really paid it much attention, then at the end of the game it turned out I was right all along.
You want content to analyze? Ok, here goes, for some of it, at least... it's late, and I need to sleep:
(And I agree that last-minute decisions are all too often poor ones. I remember that wagonshift in the championship game.)
VikeStep - Encouraging people to analyse people in more detail, obviously a good guy
Well of course you say that. All I can say is, last time you posted one of these snazzy analysis lists, you were a wolf. And it didn't help the village at all. I mean, you seem pretty villagery to me now, but maybe that's just what you want me to think.
RJS - I like the way he is playing, critically evaluating things, seems to be pretty villagery
Not exactly sure. I haven't read his posts in enough detail to say much.
Someone Else 37 - Nothing stands out as wolfy to me. Also pointed out the hypocrisy of sgbros's behaviour and is in general very helpful
Thanks!
fowltief - Was quite helpful with the discussions on d1. Hasn't said anything d2 yet.
No obvious wolftells I've noticed either (although once again, I haven't looked hard)
Eruantien - Actually stepped up and did the player analysis (although some of the comments were more comical and not serious which isn't bad but yeah), but then voted for nojr with no reason.
His ratings more or less align with my own, so there's that.
SoraZodia - Was reasonable about the lynching someone d1 but decided to give sgbros a chance to speak. Could be interpreted as wolfy/villagery
SpwnX - Hasn't done anything I find suspicious yet.
He voted RJS... he always votes RJS...
Lethosos - Was excited for a "free bandwagon" as others have pointed out but gave an explanation which is sort of reasonable. Has justified his actions, so not sure what everyone else is going on about.
He was the third person to jump on the sgbros wagon, which, as I recall, you yourself have said is about the most likely time for a wolf to join a wagon.
StrikingWolf - Nothing suspicious on d1. Hasn't said anything d2 yet
Exedra - Was AFK day 1 and then voted for Sora with no reason d2. Not really something that is particularly villagery or wolfy
LivingAngryCheese - The person I still have the biggest question mark about. Waited a long time to post anything but was actively liking posts, I usually see wolves do this when they are keeping one vote extra so that near. However did bring some good arguments to the table about the whole d1 lynching thing. Also RJS brang up info about the conversations that he has been having and I am not entirely sure that the reasoning RJS brought up were really wolfy, it just seems like someone who wants to start a network with someone who looks quite villagery (as I find RJS very villagery as well).
Yeah, I dunno.
dylanpiera - Commented on the suspicious wagon which suddenly happened on Pyure. Then decided to antismite d2 despite the fact that lots of people are putting forth good arguments he hasn't commented on.
Being anti-bandwagon seems villagery to me (or maybe a wolf who knows what he's doing,
or maybe a wolf that knows Pyure's also a wolf wait no Pyure's dead)
HeilMewTwo - Like every game, believes that since everything that he says can be used against him, does not say anything. And tbh this is just bad for the villagers
I even pointed out his silence a couple of times, and he didn't say more than two words. Not at all unusual for him, but as you say, it doesn't help anyone.
lenscas - Was very quick to join the wagon against Pyure. Could also just be that Shazam08 is very good at convincing people. Also did initially vote for sg
I could write off his and HMT's one-minute-apart sgbros votes at the very start of the game as coincidental. That and he likes messing with sgbros.
Fraction2 - Attempted to convince to instead vote for nobody. By no means is this bad, but if it so happens that sgbros was a wolf, then this may be an attempt to steer people away from that. He also found it suspicious that two people voted for the same person really close to each other, but people do that every game in the first few posts on day 1 and no-one bats an eye
It looks like sg will get lynched tonight, so we will see about that bit.
Theepic5 - Normal playing around on day 1, then voted himself? Then shortly afterwards voted for nojr just as "revenge" but with no reasoning.
016nojr - Hasn't done anything to help the village yet and antismited someone who already had two votes on d2. Could be a mistake but I can't help but find it suspicious.
Shazam08 - Assisted in steering the wagon away from sgbros1, whom I find very suspicious. And from experience, when a wagon suddenly stops it is maybe the work of wolves.
That wasn't a last minute decision to shift the lynch, though, so presumably it'd be better thought out- and indeed, Pyure didn't end up getting lynched. While this doesn't exonerate Shazam...I dunno. Once again, sg's role reveal may be very informative.
Sgbros1 - Instead of overreacting to the wagon attempt, stood the wagon in its face and encouraged people to join the wagon. Why a villager would do this I have no clue. Then justified the wagon on Pyure as tradition instead of agreeing that it actually was suspicious that this wagon happened so quickly. Also was possibly about to be lynched and then he managed to get out of it.
I'm not sure what to make of his antics so far this game. Maybe he's a wolf, maybe he's a villager who thinks his life is worth more than that of the average villager (which is entirely possible, although in that situation I'd try to lay low and explain myself rather than say "Lynch me!")
